Thursday, November 21, 2019
How we fool ourselves (and what to do about it)
How we fool ourselves (and what to do about it) How we fool ourselves (and what to do about it) My battery is low and itâs getting dark.Those were the final words of the Martian rover Opportunity as reported by numerous media outlets. The rover, lovingly nicknamed Oppy, fell silent in June 2018 after it was stuck in a massive dust storm.NASA officials beamed up hundreds of commands to the little rover, asking it to call home, but with no success. Oppy was officially pronounced dead in February 2019.Follow Ladders on Flipboard!Follow Laddersâ magazines on Flipboard covering Happiness, Productivity, Job Satisfaction, Neuroscience, and more!But what got most peopleâs attention wasnât the fact that Oppy operated on Mars for 14 years- well past its 90-day lifetime. Nor was it the record-breaking 28 miles it traversed on the red planet- far more than any other extraplanetary rover.No, what took the world by storm was the roverâs final transmission to Earth, reported with a tweet from a journalist.My battery is low and itâs getting dark.The tweet went viral, generating a media deluge across the globe. One guy even got a tattoo of Oppyâs final words on his back.The message resonated with the public in part because we all feel, from time to time, like our batteries are low and itâs getting dark out there.To have the same sentiment expressed by a non-human gave us all the feels. For 14 years, this little rover dutifully obeyed her humansâ commands, while getting whipped around by fierce Martian winds and the type of intense dust storms that left Matt Damon stranded on the planetâs surface. As the dust slowly swallowed Oppy, she beamed to Earth a final goodbye that summed up the courage of the little rover that could.My battery is low and itâs getting dark.Hereâs the problem: The story is false.Right before it went silent, Oppy beamed a bunch of routine code to Earth that reported, among numerous other things, its power levels and the outside light reading. A journalist- who didnât let facts get in the way of a good story- took this r andom code, paraphrased it into English, and tweeted to the world that those were âbasicallyâ the roverâs last words.Millions of people then hit the retweet button and a chorus of media outlets published stories about the roverâs final transmission- all without pausing, contemplating, or bothering to ask, âHow does a remote-controlled space robot spit out fully formed English sentences designed to tug at peopleâs heartstrings?âI spent four years serving on the operations team for Oppy, building stuff that went to Mars onboard the rover. Yet, for a brief moment, even I fell for the story.When I first read Oppyâs supposed final words, I let out an instinctive âAwh!â and began to scroll through the press coverage digging for more. Then, out of nowhere, Richard Feynmanâs famous adage jolted me out of my trance: âThe first principle is you must not fool yourself, and youâre the easiest person to fool.âStories are powerful stuff. They create order out of chaos, clarity out of complexity, and a cause-and-effect relationship out of coincidence. These mentally vivid images strike a deep, lasting chord with us.Stories can be used for good- to move people and to instigate change. But they can also be used for bad. âOld George Orwell got it backward,â Chuck Palahniuk, the author of Fight Club, writes.âBig Brother isnât watching. Heâs singing and dancing. Heâs pulling rabbits out of a hat.â Heâs telling you powerful stories that overwhelm you until your imagination becomes âas useful as your appendix.â We fall for the story, throw logic and skepticism to the wind, and rush off to get matching Oppy tats.Fake news isnât a modern phenomenon. Between a good story and a bunch of data, the story has always prevailed.A mountain of data dispelling the fraudulent study that links vaccines to autism isnât interesting. Jenny McCarthy explaining how her son developed autism after getting a vaccine (and then being miraculously cure d through a dietary intervention) is endlessly fascinating.The remedy? Exercise your skepticism muscles so they donât wither. The next time youâre tempted to instinctively hit that retweet button or accept conventional wisdom for what it is, pause for just a moment.Ask yourself, Is this right? Am I being captivated by the story? If I had to poke holes in this story, what might I say? Question everything from the supposed emotional appeals of a dying rover to confident claims by a loud-mouthed politician.Now, if youâll excuse me, I have to go.My battery is low and itâs getting dark.Ozan Varol is a rocket scientist turned law professor and bestselling author. Click here to download a free copy of his e-book, The Contrarian Handbook: 8 Principles for Innovating Your Thinking. Along with your free e-book, youâll get the Weekly Contrarian - a newsletter that challenges conventional wisdom and changes the way we look at the world (plus access to exclusive content for subscri bers only).This article first appeared on Ozanvarol.com . 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